The whole World Cup, measured.
Power ratings, win probabilities and tactical breakdowns for all 48 teams and every matchup, updated through the tournament. No fluff, just the numbers that move the bracket.
Kicks off June 11
Opening matches
Title race
Favourites & contenders
Spain
Euro 2024 winners and the team to beat.
France
Mbappé chasing the trophy that got away in 2022.
Argentina
Reigning champions chasing back-to-back glory.
Brazil
Ancelotti's Seleção hunting a sixth star.
England
Tuchel tasked with ending 60 years of hurt.
Germany
Wirtz and Musiala headline a German revival.
Portugal
Ronaldo's likely farewell with a golden squad.
Netherlands
Oranje blend pragmatism with talent under Koeman.
Latest
News & analysis
Senegal at World Cup 2026: Sarr's Goals, Shootout Exit
Senegal's World Cup 2026 ended in the Round of 32, drawing 2-2 with Belgium before a penalty exit. Ismaïla Sarr's four goals could not spare the Teranga Lions.
Golden Ball 2026: Fade Mbappé, Back Fabián Ruiz
World Cup Golden Ball 2026 pick: back Spain's Fabián Ruiz. The award follows the deepest run, not the Golden Boot, so fade Mbappé and trade the value.
Messi Free Kick 2026: The Shooting Zone Never Came
The Messi free-kick market at World Cup 2026 resolved No: Messi scored 8 goals on Argentina's run to the final, none a direct free kick. Here is why the No was value.
World Cup 2026 Power Rankings: Who Wins the Final?
Spain top the World Cup 2026 knockout power rankings, reaching a 0-0 final with holders Argentina, as France and England were left to rue semi-final exits.
On the radar
Featured matchups
Group stage
All 12 groups
Group A
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #15 | 2.5% | |
| 2 | #25 | 0.8% | |
| 3 | #41 | 0.4% | |
| 4 | #60 | 0.2% |
Group B
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #19 | 1% | |
| 2 | #30 | 1.2% | |
| 3 | #55 | 0.2% | |
| 4 | #65 | 0.2% |
Group C
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #6 | 11% | |
| 2 | #8 | 3.5% | |
| 3 | #43 | 0.3% | |
| 4 | #83 | 0.1% |
Group D
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #16 | 2.5% | |
| 2 | #22 | 1.2% | |
| 3 | #27 | 0.4% | |
| 4 | #40 | 0.4% |
Group E
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #10 | 8% | |
| 2 | #23 | 0.7% | |
| 3 | #34 | 0.8% | |
| 4 | #82 | 0.1% |
Group F
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #7 | 6% | |
| 2 | #18 | 1.5% | |
| 3 | #38 | 1.5% | |
| 4 | #44 | 0.2% |
Group G
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #9 | 3% | |
| 2 | #21 | 0.5% | |
| 3 | #29 | 0.6% | |
| 4 | #85 | 0.1% |
Group H
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #2 | 16% | |
| 2 | #17 | 4% | |
| 3 | #61 | 0.2% | |
| 4 | #69 | 0.1% |
Group I
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #1 | 12% | |
| 2 | #14 | 1.2% | |
| 3 | #31 | 2% | |
| 4 | #57 | 0.1% |
Group J
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #3 | 12% | |
| 2 | #24 | 1% | |
| 3 | #28 | 0.4% | |
| 4 | #63 | 0.1% |
Group K
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #5 | 7% | |
| 2 | #13 | 2% | |
| 3 | #46 | 0.2% | |
| 4 | #50 | 0.1% |
Group L
Analysis →| Team | FIFA | Win% | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #4 | 10% | |
| 2 | #11 | 2% | |
| 3 | #33 | 0.2% | |
| 4 | #74 | 0.4% |
